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N.B. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Easy-to-digest video clips. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Something went wrong, please try again later. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Trend support for the Green Party has nudged up slightly to the 5%-6% mark. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Notable recent election polls The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Which party will you vote for? Britain Elects. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The latest Panelbase survey. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. The pollster found. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. /Which party are you most inclined to support? Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r

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