dr ali binazir odds of being born
Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. So what's the probability of your being born? It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Which one's bigger? The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Are they gross exaggerations? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. This button displays the currently selected search type. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. On one try. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Same to all of us. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Just go have some fucking fun! Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). This includes personalizing content and advertising. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. June 5. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation.
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